Methodology
Each weekly reading answers one question: what materially changed this week, how much does it matter, and what should a responsible defender do about it?
THE FOUR STATES
These are communication states, not breach probabilities.
SCORING PRINCIPLES
- 01Bounded claims. Score only what can be described and sourced.
- 02Explainability. Publish the rubric and components behind every reading.
- 03Conservatism. Uncertain evidence lowers confidence; it never inflates urgency.
- 04Revision history. Preserve changes and corrections visibly.
- 05No manufactured drama. The reading may remain stable or improve.
- 06Separate fact from judgment. Sources establish facts; the editorial reading interprets them.
- 07Public-only. No private corporate signal, data, incidents, or perspective.
SIGNALS & SOURCE ROSTER
CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities, vendor advisories, credible public research and reporting.
Government advisories, major vendor research, verified campaign disclosures.
Public victim disclosures, regulator notices, law-enforcement advisories, credible incident reporting.
OPERATING RULES
- Fixed source roster
- Signals are scored from a fixed, published roster of public sources. Roster changes bump the methodology version.
- Two-source rule
- Two independent source classes are required to raise a signal. One may hold it steady.
- Weekly cut-off
- Evidence is scored through Friday 00:00 UTC each week.
- Immutable readings
- A published reading is never silently edited. Corrections append to a visible revision history.
- Confidence
- Confidence can only be lowered by uncertainty, never raised by it.
CORRECTIONS
When a reading is found to be wrong, the correction is published as a revision entry on that reading — what changed, and why. The original stays visible. If the source roster or the rubric itself changes, the methodology version increments and the change is noted here.